ORBITAL PROGRESS
§ RESEARCH LIBRARY

Eleven publications. Four categories.

Market analyses, case studies, assessment frameworks, and commentary — every publication is accessible to any reader regardless of role. Flagship reports have interactive data; shorter pieces are essay-length arguments with sourcing.

§ MARKET ANALYSIS · FLAGSHIP

The space-sustaining economy passed $200 billion

A three-way decomposition of the global space economy — traditional mission spending, commercially-procured government services, and genuine commercial revenue — read against a decade of growth data.

APRIL 2026
§ CASE STUDY · MARKET SIGNAL #2

The Ignition Choice

NASA's $20 billion cislunar Ignition program through the SpaceX-versus-ULA precedent. A case study in procurement design.

MARCH 2026
§ FRAMEWORK · CANONICAL

The Market Maturity Index

Two behavioral axes, four quadrants, and a migration path from bespoke government programs to productized commercial markets. First application: launch.

FEBRUARY 2026
§ CASE STUDY · IN SPACENEWS

The Starliner Lesson and the Artemis Question

The commercial label versus commercial discipline — applied to two programs that both carry the label but only one of which operates under market pressure.

DECEMBER 2025